Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex Autos released by the US Census Bureau is a monthly data that shows all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes except the automobile sector. The retail sales index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence. This report is the "advance" report, which can be revised fairly significantly after the final numbers are calculated. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the USD.

Most recent - Thursday 14 May 2026 12:30

Previous
1.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.6%
Actual
0.7%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) was 0.7% against a forecast of 0.6%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 14 May 2026 12:30
0.6%
0.7%
Tuesday 21 April 2026 12:30
1.4%
1.9%
Wednesday 1 April 2026 12:30
0.3%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 March 2026 12:30
-
-
Friday 6 March 2026 13:30
0%
0%
Tuesday 10 February 2026 13:30
0.3%
0%
Wednesday 14 January 2026 13:30
0.4%
0.5%
Tuesday 16 December 2025 13:30
0.3%
0.4%
Tuesday 25 November 2025 13:30
0.4%
0.3%
Friday 14 November 2025 13:30
0.3%
-
Thursday 16 October 2025 12:30
0.3%
-
Tuesday 16 September 2025 12:30
0.4%
0.7%
Friday 15 August 2025 12:30
0.3%
0.3%
Thursday 17 July 2025 12:30
0.3%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30
0.1%
-0.3%
Thursday 15 May 2025 12:30
0.3%
0.1%
Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30
0.3%
0.5%
Monday 17 March 2025 12:30
0.5%
0.3%
Friday 14 February 2025 13:30
0.3%
-0.4%
Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30
0.4%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.2%
Friday 15 November 2024 13:30
0.3%
0.1%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.2%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.4%
1.1%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.5%
0.3%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
0.2%
-0.6%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.2%
0.4%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.2%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
0%
0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
1%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
0.1%
0.1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change3.4%-6.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change4.3%4.4%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change1.3%7.9%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-0.3%8.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation(no change)1.1%1.1%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change2%1.6%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change3.6%3.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change210K215K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change3.9%-1.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.4%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.5%3.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)4.5%4.5%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0%
Personal SpendingBearish change1%0.5%
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBearish change40.75K35.75K
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.1%
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change48.544.1
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change48.244.8
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBullish change4.5%4.8%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3.4%3.9%
S&P Global Composite PMI(no change)51.751.7
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change54.555.3
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change5150.9
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.363M1.442M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.507M1.465M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change212K209K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change26.7-0.4
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.5%1.4%
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBullish change33K42.25K
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.3%0.7%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change1119.6

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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